Posted by Steve Markowitz on March 1, 2017
We live in a time where open debate is not tolerated on important issues facing society. This is especially true of intellectual elitists who respond to questions relating to their core beliefs as if they were personal attacks. There is no better example of this unintellectual and unscientific approach than with the subject of global warming.
Proponents in the belief that contemporary climate change is the result of man’s use of carbon-based fuels often shut down any debate of the issue by saying it is “settled science”. While many in the scientific community conclude this, the science is not settled. The science that these people refer to is based on modeling that can only be as good as the assumptions used in them. The models needed to predict long-term Climatic events are highly complex and must be tortuously simplified to be usable and therefore subject to the discretion of those choosing the inputted variables.
Bill Nye is known as the “Science Guy” who has written books introducing science to children. While his degree is in mechanical engineering, he purports to be an expert on climate change. During a recent interview with Tucker Carlson of Fox News, Nye made a highly emotional argument that man is responsible for contemporary climate change. When Carlson attempted to have Nye back his conclusion up with precise figures relating to man’s responsibility, Nye equivocated, bringing into question his actual scientific knowledge.
Nye has stated in the past that jail might be appropriate for people who disagree with his view on the cause climate change. That sounds eerily similar to how scientific dissenters were handled by the church hundreds of years ago. Nye’s emotional outburst at the end of the video below, where he goes off the rails concerning the Trump Administration shows a zealotry that is not worthy of scientific discussion.
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: Carlson, Global Warming, Nye, science Guy | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 9, 2015
The New York Times has reported that China’s coal consumption has been underestimated by a whopping 17% in recent years. This increase alone is greater than Germany’s entire economy emits annually from fossil fuels. Adding detail to the numbers, China added 600 million tons to its 2012 coal consumption. Between 2011 and 2013 China released approximately 900 million metric tons of additional carbon dioxide. With 4.2 metric tons consumed during 2013, China is the largest user of coal in the world.
Commenting on the updated information on China’s coal consumption, Lin Boqiang, director of the China Center for Energy Economics Research at Xiamen University, China said: “It’s created a lot of bewilderment. Our basic data will have to be adjusted, and the international agencies will also have to adjust their databases. This is troublesome because many forecasts and commitments were based on the previous data.”
China’s revised coal consumption numbers are troubling on various levels. First, it is an indication that countries fudge carbon dioxide numbers for their benefit. This makes any attempt at worldwide control nearly impossible. However, it should not be surprising that countries cheat to obtain benefit over others.
China’s willingness to fudge figures brings into question the modeling used to support the theory of man-made global warming. Modeling is as much an art as it is science. It can only be as good at predicting future events as the assumptions made in creating the model, as well of the data inputted into the model. China’s fudging of its carbon dioxide output numbers is another example of the flawed modeling approach used to predict “global warming’s” future.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: China, Coal, Global Warming, underestimate | 2 Comments »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 3, 2015
Intellectual debate on the theory of man-made global warming is heresy to those who believe in a narrative that has taken on the trappings of a neo-religion. When skeptics question cause and effect, they are shut down with the claim that the science is absolute and not open for debate. These folks should be reminded that strong claims were once made by the entire scientific community about the earth being flat and at the center of the universe. Those who opposed these false narratives were labeled heretics.
The science behind the theory of man-made global warming is not settled. This reality was brought to the forefront once again with a release of a recent NASA study. It concludes that the snow accumulation in the Antarctic that began 10,000 years ago continues and at a pace that on a yearly basis adds enough ice to the continent to more than offset any thinning of its glaciers. The NASA study also disagrees with other studies’, including the well-publicized 2013 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC), that concluded Antarctica has a net ice loss. The NASA study states:
“We’re essentially in agreement with other studies that show an increase in ice discharge in the Antarctic Peninsula and the Thwaites and Pine Island region of West Antarctica. Our main disagreement is for East Antarctica and the interior of West Antarctica – there, we see an ice gain that exceeds the losses in the other areas.” The study further concluded that in East Antarctica from 1992 two 2008, ice mass gain from the thickening averaged 200 billion tons per year, over three times the 65 billion tons per year of loss in West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula.
NASA also concludes: “The good news is that Antarctica is not currently contributing to sea level rise, but is taking 0.23 millimeters per year away. But this is also bad news. If the 0.27 millimeters per year of sea level rise attributed to Antarctica in the IPCC report is not really coming from Antarctica, there must be some other contribution to sea level rise that is not accounted for.” This inconvenient truth will be buried by the mainstream media and their partners in Progressive governments.
While the science is not settled on man-made global warming, that does not stop those with vested interests in promoting it using draconian tactics to quash dissent. For example, last week renowned French weatherman, Philippe Verdier, was fired for publishing a book that questions the man-made global warming theory. His book, Climate Investigation, accuses promoters of the theory of misleading the public. According to Verdier his concerns began when he and other French meteorologists were called into a meeting with French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius who instructed them to push the man-made global warming narrative, irrespective of the facts.
Why are man-made global warming theory advocates so adamant about stopping debate? The uneducated masses have good intent, convinced and scared by junk science. There are others with less benign motivations. The scientific community at the university level receives significant funding from governments. That funding would be at risk if they do not tow the Progressive line on the environment.
As for governments, their motivations are age-old; power and money. By creating an enemy with cataclysmic potential, governments can increase their power by promising corrective action, irrespective of any benefits from those actions. Of course, saving us requires significant funding and redistribution of assets. As has been said throughout history, when in doubt, follow the money
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: Antarctica, Climate Change, Global Warming, ICE, NASA | 3 Comments »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on July 10, 2015
In another sign of government gone wild, The Hill has reported that the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is giving high priority to “protecting” the American people from global warming. DHS’s quarterly report report lists climate change as one of its top priorities saying it “present major areas of homeland security risk”.
Evidently DHS has greater concern about the potential effects of climate change than ISIS. No wonder the terrorists are growing in strength throughout the world.
The Department of Homeland Security started under the Bush Administration in response to the 9/11 attacks. It has since grown to approximately 240,000 employees with an annual budget of nearly $40 billion. These huge numbers are just another indication of how government agencies grow after being seeded. These agencies become self-perpetuating, as they grab for power and taxpayer funds. DHS’s jump from protecting America from terrorists to potential climate change affects is a prime example of the corruption of government.
There are various arguments that can be made that would indicate that the theory of man-made global warming is suspect. However, assuming for the moment that man is radically changing the environment, one indication that science is not being appropriately used in the discussion is the one sided conclusions offered concerning the potential climate change. All effects are promoted as negative, which in itself is absurd. Any climate change has positive and negative impacts on different parts of the globe. To suggest otherwise is an indication of the fallacy of the science and the bias of the argument.
Posted in Global Warming, Government Waste | Tagged: Climate, DHS, Global Warming, Government | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 20, 2014
Dr. William Happer is a physicist with expertise in atomic physics and optics. He earned a doctorate at Princeton University in 1964 and has been a professor at Columbia and Princeton Universities. He also managed a $3 billion research budget for the US Department of Energy.
Professor Happer is a vocal skeptic concerning the danger that man-made CO2 present to the environment. He does not believe that CO2 has significantly affected the greenhouse effect, placing the blame instead on increased water vapor in the atmosphere. Happer presents his case in more detail in the video clip below.
Happer presents is the fact that global temperatures have shown no significant change in the past 18 years even though there is been significant increase in man-made CO2 emissions. In addition, the models presented by the man-made global warming advocates predicted a continual increase in global temperatures as these CO2 emissions increased. This disconnect alone proves their models flawed. What is the response from global warming zealots? “Don’t confuse us with facts.”
There are those that will respond to Dr. Happer by attacking the relevance of his credentials. Those same people, however, would rely on Al Gore for their science.
Real atmospheric pollution needs to be curbed, as Happer concludes. However, CO2 is considered a pollutant only because of rulings by lawyers even though it is excreted by all mammals, which then becomes a food source for the plants that feed animals.
Draconian curbing of CO2 emissions offers real dangers to society. It will increase the cost of energy and food sources worldwide. This will increase global hunger and starvation, especially in the Third World. Unlike global warming, these problems do not require complex computer models to predict. They are here today.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: CO2, Global Warming, Happer, Physicist, vapor, Winston | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on September 23, 2014
Dr. Steven E. Koonin was undersecretary for science in the Department of Energy during Obama’s first term. His credentials include a PhD in physics and provost at Caltech. As chief scientist for BP his work focused on renewable and low-carbon energy sources. With such credentials one might expect Dr. Koonin to be a global warming zealot. Instead, he offers clear-thinking and open-mindedness, as indicated in his op-ed posted in the Wall Street Journal titled Climate Science Is Not Settled.
In the op-ed, Koonin uses the scientific method and logic to offer an open and unbiased discussion on climate change and the role that man-made carbon dioxide plays in its trajectory. His statements include:
- “The idea that ‘Climate science is settled’ runs through today’s popular and policy discussions. Unfortunately, that claim is misguided. …. it also has inhibited the scientific and policy discussions that we need to have about our climate future.”
- “The crucial scientific question for policy isn’t whether the climate is changing. That is a settled matter: The climate has always changed and always will. ….. Nor is the crucial question whether humans are influencing the climate. That is no hoax: There is little doubt in the scientific community that continually growing amounts of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, due largely to carbon-dioxide emissions from the conventional use of fossil fuels, are influencing the climate. There is also little doubt that the carbon dioxide will persist in the atmosphere for several centuries. ….. Rather, the crucial, unsettled scientific question for policy is, ‘How will the climate change over the next century under both natural and human influences?’ Answers to that question at the global and regional levels, as well as to equally complex questions of how ecosystems and human activities will be affected, should inform our choices about energy and infrastructure.”
- “Even though human influences could have serious consequences for the climate, they are physically small in relation to the climate system as a whole.”
- “We often hear that there is a ‘scientific consensus’ about climate change. But as far as the computer models go, there isn’t a useful consensus at the level of detail relevant to assessing human influences.”
- “For the latest IPCC report (September 2013), its Working Group I, which focuses on physical science, uses an ensemble of some 55 different models. Although most of these models are tuned to reproduce the gross features of the Earth’s climate, the marked differences in their details and projections reflect all of the limitations that I have described.”
- “Although the Earth’s average surface temperature rose sharply by 0.9 degree Fahrenheit during the last quarter of the 20th century, it has increased much more slowly for the past 16 years, even as the human contribution to atmospheric carbon dioxide has risen by some 25%. This surprising fact demonstrates directly that natural influences and variability are powerful enough to counteract the present warming influence exerted by human activity.” … “The models roughly describe the shrinking extent of Arctic sea ice observed over the past two decades, but they fail to describe the comparable growth of Antarctic sea ice, which is now at a record high.” … “Even though the human influence on climate was much smaller in the past, the models do not account for the fact that the rate of global sea-level rise 70 years ago was as large as what we observe today—about one foot per century.” …. This led Koonin to conclude: “These and many other open questions are in fact described in the IPCC research reports, although a detailed and knowledgeable reading is sometimes required to discern them. They are not “minor” issues to be “cleaned up” by further research. Rather, they are deficiencies that erode confidence in the computer projections.”
Dr. Koonin offers two key conclusions. First, calling the science “settled” chills unrestricted scientific discussion. In addition, while proponents of the man-made global warming theory are willing to discuss scientific “certainties”, they ignore the uncertainties, a disservice to climate science.
Dr. Koonin should be acclaimed for a willingness to bring back the discussion and study of global warming to the scientific method. Unfortunately, this subject has been so politicized by the Left to promote an agenda of wealth redistribution; it would not be surprising to see Koonin attacked by Progressives who fear a real scientific discussion on this important subject. After all, Koonin is a heretic when it comes to the new religion of global warming.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: Climate Change, Global Warming, Koonin, Science | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on September 5, 2014
The greater Islamic world is in turmoil. Pakistan, a nuclear power, is teetering due to the many radicals in country. Afghanistan will fall apart when the US troops depart. Libya, Syria, and Iraq are in Civil Wars. Egypt is fighting its Islamic fundamentalist problems and Iran continues on a quest for nuclear weapons.
Given the chaos in the Muslim world, it was shocking to hear John Kerry on Wednesday giving a speech on Islam in the video below that included:
“Confronting climate change is, in the long run, one of the greatest challenges that we face, and you can see this duty or responsibility laid out in Scriptures clearly, beginning in Genesis.
“And Muslim-majority countries are among the most vulnerable. Our response to this challenge ought to be rooted in a sense of stewardship of Earth, and for me and for many of us here today, that responsibility comes from God.”
John Kerry is delusional and out of touch with reality. Yes, he is a religious fanatic. However, not one based on Scripture, but instead the new religion of global warming. You can’t make this stuff up!
Posted in Global Warming, Islam | Tagged: fanatic, Global Warming, Islam, John Kerry | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on February 19, 2014
Syndicated columnist George Will was on Chris Wallace’s talk show this past weekend and ably articulated the real motivations behind many of the zealots who have closed the book and their minds on reasonable debate concerning the causes of climate change. As has been said on many occasions, when in doubt, follow the money.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: Climate, Climate Change, George-will, Global Warming, Greed | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on February 15, 2014
The contemporary religion that bows to the altar of global warming being man-made and catastrophic, societies and their economies are being molded by Progressives and their liberal politico allies. Not only are changes being implemented before the science behind man-made global warming is confirmed, but they are done willful dumbness towards the consequences of the actions.
In any social-economic environment there are consequences, sometimes serious ones when governments make unnatural interventions into dynamic and complex economic models. In the case of the attack on carbon-based fuels for energy production, continuing down the current path will result in many people in the world going hungry as the price of food increases with the increased cost of energy.
There are other consequences that will occur from the governmental interventions. Some businesses will benefit, as others are damaged when the government picks winners and losers. Some workers will see their salaries increase, while others will see decreases or lost employment opportunities as industries go out-of-favor and new ones come in to favor. More serious consequences will be social disruptions that could lead to armed complex as some countries benefit at the expense of others, the result of worldwide implemented green policies.
The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this week on another consequence of governmental green policies; damage to wildlife. The Journal reported that $2.2 billion Ivanpah solar farm is killing birds, some rare species, a result of intense heat that can exceed thousand degrees Fahrenheit, mirrors looking like water to the birds, and towers as tall as 40 story buildings. In addition, this facility alone takes up over five square miles of land near Las Vegas, Nevada.
The response to the bird killings has been muted by the Left since the green project is also favored by Progressives. Eric Davis, an assistant director for the US Fish and Wildlife Service said: “We’re trying to figure out how big the problem is and what we can do to minimize bird mortalities. When you have new technologies, you don’t know what the impacts are going to be.” Compare this weak response to the Obama Administration’s dithering on the Keystone pipeline merely because it may have some environmental impact.
Adding insult to injury, these green projects not only have negative environmental consequences, but also do not make economic sense. Even with governmental incentives that include huge tax credits, the electricity produced by the solar plants is not competitive. The Journal reports that the Ivanpah plant cost four times more than a natural gas-fired facility, yet will produce less electricity. In addition, electricity emanating from the solar plants will cost more than twice the amount of that produced from conventional technologies.
What do the global warming zealots have to say about all this? As for the dead birds, they will ignore the issue or call it collateral damage. As for the illogical economics, they will claim it’s all for the public’s good. In the meantime, wildlife will die, some people will go hungry, crony capitalism will make others rich, and maybe the world will not get quite as warm. That is a lot of negative consequences emanating from a maybe.
Posted in economics, Global Warming | Tagged: birds, Global Warming, Ivanpah, plant, Solar | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on September 10, 2013
Progressives love to create a crisis that they can then save the ordinary citizens from. After World War II the Right portion of the political aisle took the lead on this tactic crying wolf concerning international communism and the related Red scare. This led to McCarthyism during the 1950s and in the latter portion of the Eisenhower administration the missile gap promoted by John Kennedy. These scares led to the Domino Theory that propagated the view that should one country fall to communism in a region others would follow. This logic took Country into the Vietnam War debacle, as well as significant wasted funds spent on the arms race. The Domino Theory proved false and incompatible with the nationalism found in many countries. In addition, the Soviet Union was never close to parity with the United States.
The fall of the Soviet Empire did not stop Progressives’ penchant for creating still more crisis. Examples include the Bird Flu, SARs, Y2K, among others. While significant funds and effort were spent on unnecessary remedial actions, none of these crises actually developed.
The darling of all proclaimed crises of modern time is Global Warming. The Left jumped on this supposed scourge with religious zealotry proclaiming Al Gore its chief priest. Society has been bombarded with warnings of dire consequences to humanity that will result from man-made global warming, i.e. emitting carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Any who suggest skepticism are excommunicated from the debate.
Proponents of the man-made global warming crisis state unequivocally that the science is closed. There compelling evidence was a warming trend that has occurred since the early 1980s. This proof, however, was no better than those who watched the sun orbit the earth and proclaimed the our planet the center of the universe.
The motivations behind those who promote the theory of man-made global warming vary. Some have the best of intentions and use their own observation and flawed models to conclude the worst. Others promote the theory to gain power and wealth. Still others use the fear of man-made global warming to further their Leftist agenda to redistribute wealth between countries. This wealth redistribution agenda has existed on the Left since long before any readers of this Blog came into existence.
Global Warming has been placed on the back burner in recent months. Other issues have taken priority including the turmoil in the Middle East and the long drawn out worldwide economic malaise. At the same time there is growing evidence that the data and models used to back up the claims that man’s use of hydrocarbon-based energy is responsible for the global warming are flawed.
The first visible cracks in the man-made global warming evidence occurred in recent years when the Earth’s warming trend stopped and did not follow the trend predicted in the models used to prove the theory. More recently there has been growth in the Arctic ice cap, as reported by the dailymail who recently published the following information:
- The Arctic ice has grown by approximately a million more square miles since 2012, an increase of 60% during the year. (See satellite photographs below.)
- Some scientists believe the world is entering a cooling period for the next few decades..
- Professor Judith Curry, a US climate expert, has stated that she believes the most significant factor affecting the global climate are temperature cycles in the oceans. She in fact believes that the world is now entering a cooling cycle similar to that which occurred between 1965 and 1975.
- University of Wisconsin Professor Anastasios Tsonis also believes that ocean cycles significantly affect global temperatures stating: “We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.”
An example of the zealotry of the true believers can be found in a 2007 BBC report titled Arctic Summers Ice Free by 2013 that is still posted on their website that incredibly claimed the Arctic would be ice free by this summer. To true believers, however, their incorrect information is but a hip-hop. To them, we are merely in a pause on the way to Armageddon. How convenient.
The information above does not prove that the theory of man-made Global Warming is false. It, however, raises enough questions to indicate that the science behind the argument is not complete.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: Arctic, Global Warming, grow, ICE, Increase, left, Progressive | Leave a Comment »