Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 9, 2015
The New York Times has reported that China’s coal consumption has been underestimated by a whopping 17% in recent years. This increase alone is greater than Germany’s entire economy emits annually from fossil fuels. Adding detail to the numbers, China added 600 million tons to its 2012 coal consumption. Between 2011 and 2013 China released approximately 900 million metric tons of additional carbon dioxide. With 4.2 metric tons consumed during 2013, China is the largest user of coal in the world.
Commenting on the updated information on China’s coal consumption, Lin Boqiang, director of the China Center for Energy Economics Research at Xiamen University, China said: “It’s created a lot of bewilderment. Our basic data will have to be adjusted, and the international agencies will also have to adjust their databases. This is troublesome because many forecasts and commitments were based on the previous data.”
China’s revised coal consumption numbers are troubling on various levels. First, it is an indication that countries fudge carbon dioxide numbers for their benefit. This makes any attempt at worldwide control nearly impossible. However, it should not be surprising that countries cheat to obtain benefit over others.
China’s willingness to fudge figures brings into question the modeling used to support the theory of man-made global warming. Modeling is as much an art as it is science. It can only be as good at predicting future events as the assumptions made in creating the model, as well of the data inputted into the model. China’s fudging of its carbon dioxide output numbers is another example of the flawed modeling approach used to predict “global warming’s” future.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: China, Coal, Global Warming, underestimate | 2 Comments »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 6, 2015
Many are focused on the man-made global warming theory, some because they are true believers and others for less honorable reasons. There are also esteem scientists that do not buy in to that popular theory.
Astronomynow.com recently published an article Diminishing solar activity may bring new Ice Age by 2030 that offers a very different view on impending climate change. This article not only questions the theory of man-made climate, but predicts a significant and potentially cataclysmic cold spell within the next 15 years.
Physicist Dr. Helen Popova of the Skobeltsyn Institute of Nuclear Physics and of the Faculty of Physics of the Lomonosov Moscow State University proffers the view that periodic changes in solar activity have historically been a major cause of climate change. Specifically, previous global cooling’s have correlated with the periodic changes in solar activity; i.e. the amount of sunspots.
According to Dr. Popova, the solar activity results in significant changes in electromagnetic radiation from the Sun. This includes a 11 and 90 year cycles. Popova presents evidence that the “Little Ice Age” that occurred in the 17th century coincided with a significant drop off in sunspot activity, something she predicts will reoccur within the next 15 years.
Dr. Popova position is theoretical, as is the man-made global warming theory that is based on computer modeling. However, Popova makes a compelling case to question the man-made global warming theory stating:
“There is no strong evidence, that global warming is caused by human activity. The study of deuterium in the Antarctic showed that there were five global warmings and four Ice Ages for the past 400 thousand years. People first appeared on the Earth about 60 thousand years ago. However, even if human activities influence the climate, we can say, that the Sun with the new minimum gives humanity more time or a second chance to reduce their industrial emissions and to prepare, when the Sun will return to normal activity”.
If man’s use of carbon-based fossil fuels is indeed the cause of global warming, it is problematic for the environment. However, the proponents of the man-made global warming theory have not offered solutions that would significantly decrease the amount of carbon exhaust created. More problematic, the suggested feel-good steps suggested will significantly increase the cost of energy and food creating significant hardship for mankind, especially in poorer countries.
While it is hard to predict the consequences, both positive and negative, of global warming, it is easier to predict consequences that would result from another Little Ice Age; i.e. significant decreases in man’s ability to produce food, as well as increased demand for energy.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: cooling, Global, Popova, Warming | 1 Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 3, 2015
Intellectual debate on the theory of man-made global warming is heresy to those who believe in a narrative that has taken on the trappings of a neo-religion. When skeptics question cause and effect, they are shut down with the claim that the science is absolute and not open for debate. These folks should be reminded that strong claims were once made by the entire scientific community about the earth being flat and at the center of the universe. Those who opposed these false narratives were labeled heretics.
The science behind the theory of man-made global warming is not settled. This reality was brought to the forefront once again with a release of a recent NASA study. It concludes that the snow accumulation in the Antarctic that began 10,000 years ago continues and at a pace that on a yearly basis adds enough ice to the continent to more than offset any thinning of its glaciers. The NASA study also disagrees with other studies’, including the well-publicized 2013 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC), that concluded Antarctica has a net ice loss. The NASA study states:
“We’re essentially in agreement with other studies that show an increase in ice discharge in the Antarctic Peninsula and the Thwaites and Pine Island region of West Antarctica. Our main disagreement is for East Antarctica and the interior of West Antarctica – there, we see an ice gain that exceeds the losses in the other areas.” The study further concluded that in East Antarctica from 1992 two 2008, ice mass gain from the thickening averaged 200 billion tons per year, over three times the 65 billion tons per year of loss in West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula.
NASA also concludes: “The good news is that Antarctica is not currently contributing to sea level rise, but is taking 0.23 millimeters per year away. But this is also bad news. If the 0.27 millimeters per year of sea level rise attributed to Antarctica in the IPCC report is not really coming from Antarctica, there must be some other contribution to sea level rise that is not accounted for.” This inconvenient truth will be buried by the mainstream media and their partners in Progressive governments.
While the science is not settled on man-made global warming, that does not stop those with vested interests in promoting it using draconian tactics to quash dissent. For example, last week renowned French weatherman, Philippe Verdier, was fired for publishing a book that questions the man-made global warming theory. His book, Climate Investigation, accuses promoters of the theory of misleading the public. According to Verdier his concerns began when he and other French meteorologists were called into a meeting with French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius who instructed them to push the man-made global warming narrative, irrespective of the facts.
Why are man-made global warming theory advocates so adamant about stopping debate? The uneducated masses have good intent, convinced and scared by junk science. There are others with less benign motivations. The scientific community at the university level receives significant funding from governments. That funding would be at risk if they do not tow the Progressive line on the environment.
As for governments, their motivations are age-old; power and money. By creating an enemy with cataclysmic potential, governments can increase their power by promising corrective action, irrespective of any benefits from those actions. Of course, saving us requires significant funding and redistribution of assets. As has been said throughout history, when in doubt, follow the money
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: Antarctica, Climate Change, Global Warming, ICE, NASA | 3 Comments »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on July 10, 2015
In another sign of government gone wild, The Hill has reported that the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is giving high priority to “protecting” the American people from global warming. DHS’s quarterly report report lists climate change as one of its top priorities saying it “present major areas of homeland security risk”.
Evidently DHS has greater concern about the potential effects of climate change than ISIS. No wonder the terrorists are growing in strength throughout the world.
The Department of Homeland Security started under the Bush Administration in response to the 9/11 attacks. It has since grown to approximately 240,000 employees with an annual budget of nearly $40 billion. These huge numbers are just another indication of how government agencies grow after being seeded. These agencies become self-perpetuating, as they grab for power and taxpayer funds. DHS’s jump from protecting America from terrorists to potential climate change affects is a prime example of the corruption of government.
There are various arguments that can be made that would indicate that the theory of man-made global warming is suspect. However, assuming for the moment that man is radically changing the environment, one indication that science is not being appropriately used in the discussion is the one sided conclusions offered concerning the potential climate change. All effects are promoted as negative, which in itself is absurd. Any climate change has positive and negative impacts on different parts of the globe. To suggest otherwise is an indication of the fallacy of the science and the bias of the argument.
Posted in Global Warming, Government Waste | Tagged: Climate, DHS, Global Warming, Government | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on March 6, 2015
Progressive governments worldwide have tainted the science behind the theory that man’s usage of carbon-based fuel is responsible for what they first called global warming and more recently climate change. By controlling funding they effectively control the outcome of the debate, irrespective of real science, using the threat of cutting off the funding for institutions and scientists that do not toe the line.
The US government’s bias in the man-made climate change debate was made transparent in a recent hearing before a Senate committee studying an increased budget request from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy was grilled by Sen. Jeff Sessions of Alabama concerning the Agency’s request for a 6% funding increase for next year, three times the rate of inflation.
In justifying the EPA’s huge budget increase request, McCarthy referred to the dangers of man-made global warming and the important role that EPA plays in combating it. That led to an exchange between Session’s and McCarthy, video below, which demonstrates McCarthy’s strong bias in the issue. When Session asked the Administrator three direct questions concerning historical facts of the past 10 years whose answers do not support the man-made global warming “science”, McCarthy feigned ignorance or sparred with the responses. Her combative and evasive answers are not that of a scientist, but an advocate.
Given that the EPA gains power and additional funding by “promoting” global warming dangers, it is not surprising that McCarthy was so emotional in her exchange with Session. This is but an example of government agencies and bureaucrats framing arguments and facts to the benefit of themselves personally and/or their agencies.
In the past decade, private companies have significantly cut their cost of doing business in response to increased worldwide competition and also by taking advantage of technology to improve productivity and efficiency. Contrast this with the US government that continually increases its budget and number of employees and the problem is clear to see. Then, to protect turf and perpetual growth, high-level bureaucrats justify their existence promoting one potential crisis after another that they are protecting the People from. Pretty good gig!
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: EPA Administrator McCarthy shows Agency’s bias in argument over man-made climate change. Requests 6% budget increase and spars with Sen. Session on issue | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 20, 2014
Dr. William Happer is a physicist with expertise in atomic physics and optics. He earned a doctorate at Princeton University in 1964 and has been a professor at Columbia and Princeton Universities. He also managed a $3 billion research budget for the US Department of Energy.
Professor Happer is a vocal skeptic concerning the danger that man-made CO2 present to the environment. He does not believe that CO2 has significantly affected the greenhouse effect, placing the blame instead on increased water vapor in the atmosphere. Happer presents his case in more detail in the video clip below.
Happer presents is the fact that global temperatures have shown no significant change in the past 18 years even though there is been significant increase in man-made CO2 emissions. In addition, the models presented by the man-made global warming advocates predicted a continual increase in global temperatures as these CO2 emissions increased. This disconnect alone proves their models flawed. What is the response from global warming zealots? “Don’t confuse us with facts.”
There are those that will respond to Dr. Happer by attacking the relevance of his credentials. Those same people, however, would rely on Al Gore for their science.
Real atmospheric pollution needs to be curbed, as Happer concludes. However, CO2 is considered a pollutant only because of rulings by lawyers even though it is excreted by all mammals, which then becomes a food source for the plants that feed animals.
Draconian curbing of CO2 emissions offers real dangers to society. It will increase the cost of energy and food sources worldwide. This will increase global hunger and starvation, especially in the Third World. Unlike global warming, these problems do not require complex computer models to predict. They are here today.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: CO2, Global Warming, Happer, Physicist, vapor, Winston | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on September 23, 2014
Dr. Steven E. Koonin was undersecretary for science in the Department of Energy during Obama’s first term. His credentials include a PhD in physics and provost at Caltech. As chief scientist for BP his work focused on renewable and low-carbon energy sources. With such credentials one might expect Dr. Koonin to be a global warming zealot. Instead, he offers clear-thinking and open-mindedness, as indicated in his op-ed posted in the Wall Street Journal titled Climate Science Is Not Settled.
In the op-ed, Koonin uses the scientific method and logic to offer an open and unbiased discussion on climate change and the role that man-made carbon dioxide plays in its trajectory. His statements include:
- “The idea that ‘Climate science is settled’ runs through today’s popular and policy discussions. Unfortunately, that claim is misguided. …. it also has inhibited the scientific and policy discussions that we need to have about our climate future.”
- “The crucial scientific question for policy isn’t whether the climate is changing. That is a settled matter: The climate has always changed and always will. ….. Nor is the crucial question whether humans are influencing the climate. That is no hoax: There is little doubt in the scientific community that continually growing amounts of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, due largely to carbon-dioxide emissions from the conventional use of fossil fuels, are influencing the climate. There is also little doubt that the carbon dioxide will persist in the atmosphere for several centuries. ….. Rather, the crucial, unsettled scientific question for policy is, ‘How will the climate change over the next century under both natural and human influences?’ Answers to that question at the global and regional levels, as well as to equally complex questions of how ecosystems and human activities will be affected, should inform our choices about energy and infrastructure.”
- “Even though human influences could have serious consequences for the climate, they are physically small in relation to the climate system as a whole.”
- “We often hear that there is a ‘scientific consensus’ about climate change. But as far as the computer models go, there isn’t a useful consensus at the level of detail relevant to assessing human influences.”
- “For the latest IPCC report (September 2013), its Working Group I, which focuses on physical science, uses an ensemble of some 55 different models. Although most of these models are tuned to reproduce the gross features of the Earth’s climate, the marked differences in their details and projections reflect all of the limitations that I have described.”
- “Although the Earth’s average surface temperature rose sharply by 0.9 degree Fahrenheit during the last quarter of the 20th century, it has increased much more slowly for the past 16 years, even as the human contribution to atmospheric carbon dioxide has risen by some 25%. This surprising fact demonstrates directly that natural influences and variability are powerful enough to counteract the present warming influence exerted by human activity.” … “The models roughly describe the shrinking extent of Arctic sea ice observed over the past two decades, but they fail to describe the comparable growth of Antarctic sea ice, which is now at a record high.” … “Even though the human influence on climate was much smaller in the past, the models do not account for the fact that the rate of global sea-level rise 70 years ago was as large as what we observe today—about one foot per century.” …. This led Koonin to conclude: “These and many other open questions are in fact described in the IPCC research reports, although a detailed and knowledgeable reading is sometimes required to discern them. They are not “minor” issues to be “cleaned up” by further research. Rather, they are deficiencies that erode confidence in the computer projections.”
Dr. Koonin offers two key conclusions. First, calling the science “settled” chills unrestricted scientific discussion. In addition, while proponents of the man-made global warming theory are willing to discuss scientific “certainties”, they ignore the uncertainties, a disservice to climate science.
Dr. Koonin should be acclaimed for a willingness to bring back the discussion and study of global warming to the scientific method. Unfortunately, this subject has been so politicized by the Left to promote an agenda of wealth redistribution; it would not be surprising to see Koonin attacked by Progressives who fear a real scientific discussion on this important subject. After all, Koonin is a heretic when it comes to the new religion of global warming.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: Climate Change, Global Warming, Koonin, Science | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on September 18, 2014
Comedy writer Michael Loftus has done a shtick on the global warming industry included in the video below. Not only does Loftus appropriately question the science behind global warming, climate change, or whatever it’s currently referred to, but also the motivations behind those promoting it. As he correctly points out, Al Gore and other global warming high priests have become wealthy promoting the scare and the industries they have invested that create goods and services to save the world from the suppose it calamity.
Posted in Global Warming | Tagged: global-warming industry, Gore, Loftus | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on September 5, 2014
The greater Islamic world is in turmoil. Pakistan, a nuclear power, is teetering due to the many radicals in country. Afghanistan will fall apart when the US troops depart. Libya, Syria, and Iraq are in Civil Wars. Egypt is fighting its Islamic fundamentalist problems and Iran continues on a quest for nuclear weapons.
Given the chaos in the Muslim world, it was shocking to hear John Kerry on Wednesday giving a speech on Islam in the video below that included:
“Confronting climate change is, in the long run, one of the greatest challenges that we face, and you can see this duty or responsibility laid out in Scriptures clearly, beginning in Genesis.
“And Muslim-majority countries are among the most vulnerable. Our response to this challenge ought to be rooted in a sense of stewardship of Earth, and for me and for many of us here today, that responsibility comes from God.”
John Kerry is delusional and out of touch with reality. Yes, he is a religious fanatic. However, not one based on Scripture, but instead the new religion of global warming. You can’t make this stuff up!
Posted in Global Warming, Islam | Tagged: fanatic, Global Warming, Islam, John Kerry | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Steve Markowitz on May 14, 2014
There are two major tenants behind the new religion that bows to the altar that global warming has been caused by man. First, man’s use of carbon-based energy has caused increased atmospheric CO2 levels leading to a greenhouse gas affect causing the warming. Just as important is the second tenant that man can significantly alter this warming trend and its effects on the atmosphere by reducing consumption of carbon-based fuels.
A major proselytizer for the man-made global warming theory has been the mainstream media with the New York Times being on the top of that pillar. This week the Times published an article titled Scientists Warn of Rising Oceans from Polar Melt. While it includes what would be expected in a related alarmist article, it also includes an issue with the potential to create a schism within the global warming alarmist community.
The Times reports that a huge ice sheet in Western Antarctica is starting to fall apart and that this melting is occurring because of man’s use of greenhouse gases. Should this continue, while the sea rise will “be relatively slow for the rest the 21st century,” its level could increase by more than 10 feet “in coming centuries”. How scary! However, it is difficult to understand how a scientific group that has been so wrong at predicting weather trends from year to year could be so sure of a prediction for climatic change 100 years from now.
Okay, so far the Times article will be heralded the believers. However, a second theme of the article is likely to create consternation. Specifically, the Times points out that the West Antarctica ice melt and its disintegration is irreversible:
- “This is really happening. There’s nothing to stop it now. But you are still limited by the physics of how fast the ice can flow.” – Thomas P. Wagner, of NASA who helped oversee research
- “Today we present observational evidence that a large sector of the West Antarctic ice sheet has gone into irreversible retreat. It has passed the point of no return.” – Dr. Rignot, NASA.
- “If we have indeed lit the fuse on West Antarctica, it’s very hard to imagine putting the fuse out.” – Dr. Richard B. Alley, climate scientist at Pennsylvania State University
The problem this conclusion that? If the man-made problem is irreversible, then what benefit comes from the expensive green energy programs?
When faced with the possibility global warming is irreversible, the zealots come back with the argument that burning less fossil fuels must be beneficial in other ways. This response might be appropriate if it weren’t for the significant consequences of green energy policies on the Third World. While Americans and Europeans can afford to pay five times as much for a light-bulb (to benefit the green energy industry), the effects of green energy on world food prices in Third World countries will be significant. People already die from starvation in some countries. Raising the price of food by even a few percent is a catastrophe in such countries.
Finally, as with any zealotry, believers in man-made global warming theory offer irrefutable proof of their conclusion. They point to the many scientists who have concluded that the science is finished. Hmmmmm …….. Forget for the moment that some scientists depend on government subsidies for funding, let’s look at their track record. Didn’t the scientific community at one time confirm that the sun revolved around the earth? Didn’t they also conclude that the earth was flat? Didn’t they also conclude that Y2K would be a debacle for the world’s computer systems? These questions should at least offer pause before we set policies that will alter the economic future of mankind.
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