China’s Coal Consumption Underestimated
Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 9, 2015
The New York Times has reported that China’s coal consumption has been underestimated by a whopping 17% in recent years. This increase alone is greater than Germany’s entire economy emits annually from fossil fuels. Adding detail to the numbers, China added 600 million tons to its 2012 coal consumption. Between 2011 and 2013 China released approximately 900 million metric tons of additional carbon dioxide. With 4.2 metric tons consumed during 2013, China is the largest user of coal in the world.
Commenting on the updated information on China’s coal consumption, Lin Boqiang, director of the China Center for Energy Economics Research at Xiamen University, China said: “It’s created a lot of bewilderment. Our basic data will have to be adjusted, and the international agencies will also have to adjust their databases. This is troublesome because many forecasts and commitments were based on the previous data.”
China’s revised coal consumption numbers are troubling on various levels. First, it is an indication that countries fudge carbon dioxide numbers for their benefit. This makes any attempt at worldwide control nearly impossible. However, it should not be surprising that countries cheat to obtain benefit over others.
China’s willingness to fudge figures brings into question the modeling used to support the theory of man-made global warming. Modeling is as much an art as it is science. It can only be as good at predicting future events as the assumptions made in creating the model, as well of the data inputted into the model. China’s fudging of its carbon dioxide output numbers is another example of the flawed modeling approach used to predict “global warming’s” future.