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Election Results Indicate Problems at Fox News for Republican Pollsters

Posted by Steve Markowitz on November 11, 2012

Going into the presidential election there were two opposing views as to the outcome.  One, expressed by mainstream pollsters and Obama campaign, pointed to a victory for the President.  The other view circulated by Republican pollsters and promoted by Fox News was a Romney victory.  They justified this conclusion by claiming the mainstream pollsters were over-polling for Democrats.  The mainstream pollsters were indeed correct.

Republican pollster Frank Luntz at least had the good sense for some straight talk on the issue when on Saturday night he said on Fox News:

“Look – the published polls that the Romney campaign and the Republican establishment were trashing day after day turned out to be accurate.  …

“This is a bad day for Republican pollsters, and it’s something that they should be held accountable for.  You have to tell your clients the truth, and you have to be accurate.  And to miss so many states and to be this far off, your Fox News viewers ought to be outraged, because day in and day out they were told that Mitt Romney was going to win, and the fact is Ohio was never up, Wisconsin was never up, Pennsylvania was never up…the published polls were correct.  Nate Silver was correct.  But the Republican establishment polls were wrong.”

Polling, while not exact, is indeed a science.  For Republican pollsters and Fox News to get it so wrong is unconscionable and is unlikely merely the result of wishful thinking.  Both need to be taken to task for their glaring mistakes.  For Republicans, the established leaders of the RNC and others in power within the party need to be fired.  As for Fox News, they will be handled appropriately with the loss of viewers and resulting advertising revenues.

 

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One Response to “Election Results Indicate Problems at Fox News for Republican Pollsters”

  1. Carl Hackert said

    I agree that the GOP polls were tragically flawed – they may have been “push polls” designed to discourage the Left and bolster the Right. I also suspect massive voter fraud in certain areas (For example, in Philadelphia districts in which over 99% voted for Obama!)

    Was the Christian right and the Catholic vote less enthralled with Romney because of his Mormon faith? It seems that the projected “enthusiastic” turnout for the GOP was nearly 3 million less than the number that supported McCain.

    GOP chair Priebus did a worse job than Steele, especially on the Sunday morning shows. Romney’s campaign chairman’s backsliding flip-flops on Obamacare and the lack of specificity on cuts & taxes hurt him badly (at least Obama waived around a “plan” on paper).

    Having Rubio as VP would have helped in Florida and perhaps with Latinos in other parts of the USA. But Romney chose Ryan perhaps to get the Catholic vote and because he is sqeaky clean and a policy wonk.The Obama campaign has dossiers of negative info on every GOP prospect: look what happened with Gen. Petraeus. One has to wonder if they used their access FBI raw data for political purposes as Clinton did.

    The hidden recording of the Romney 47% comment & the Candy Crowley erroneous Debate II “redflag” hurt Romney more than either Obama’s comment to Medved about being “flexible” or that Netanyahu was a pain or any of the Biden gaffes. Why? Because the media played it up to make Romney look bad.

    Finally, Judge Roberts’ flawed ruling was a real blow. Then came the terrible speeches at the GOP convention including Gov. Christie’s which he followed up with his hurricane bearhug of Obama which took away Romney’s claim to be able to work in a bi-partisan manner. Now 2 weeks after Sandy we see that failure of FEMA but the liberal media will not blame Obama as they did Bush. Nor, will they say “Obama lied and people died” with respect to Fast & Furious or the Benghazi embassy attack by Muslims on the 9/11 anniversary.

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